Bankruptcy litigation analytics

The trustee has a number. It isn’t yours.

Preference demands are computed from the debtor’s records — not from the payment history that actually decides these cases. We analyze your own AR data under §547’s defenses and deliver the result as expert-grade work product, through your counsel, for a flat fee.

01The situation

Why you received that letter

When a customer files for bankruptcy, the trustee can seek to recover payments the company made to its suppliers during the 90 days before the filing — even payments on legitimate invoices, delivered in full. Demands and lawsuits typically arrive in waves, often close to the two-year filing deadline, and they carry real response clocks: a filed complaint generally requires an answer within about 30 days, and unanswered complaints routinely end in default judgments for the full amount demanded.

The demand is usually built from the debtor’s disbursement records alone. It does not account for the statutory defenses Congress wrote into §547 — defenses that can only be computed from your records: your invoices, your payment dates, your shipments.

Because these letters are generated from a list of everyone the company paid, they are not limited to trade suppliers on credit terms. They also reach businesses paid cash in advance or on delivery, brokers and agents who passed funds along, factors and others who took assignment of a receivable, service providers and contractors paid as work was performed, and revenue-share or joint-venture counterparties. A trustee must establish specific elements to recover a payment, and those elements are not the same for every recipient. Part of what we do is set out, from your own records, the facts bearing on that question — the timing between payments and invoices, how a receipt was classified in your books, who issued the invoice and who was paid — so your counsel can evaluate what they mean for you.

Whatever you do, don’t ignore it. If you have been served, speak with bankruptcy counsel promptly — never disregard a summons.

Close-up of a demand letter whose subject line reads: RE: Demand for Return of Preferential Transfers — 11 U.S.C. § 547. The rest of the letter is out of focus.

02What we do

We compute the number the demand leaves out

One engagement covers one customer bankruptcy. You provide an AR export and a shipment log — plus the trustee’s schedule of alleged transfers if you have it; otherwise we pull it from the public docket. We do the rest.

01

Reconciliation

We match the trustee’s exhibit against your ledger line by line: transfers dated outside the 90-day window, payments attributed to you that aren’t in your books, the same payment listed twice, and payments made before any invoice for them existed. Errors in the demand are identified and documented first. Some cases end here.

02 — §547(c)(2)

Ordinary course of business

§547(c)(2) protects payments consistent with the parties’ historical dealing. We build your days-to-pay baseline from years of pre-distress history and score every challenged payment under each of the methodologies courts accept — with a sensitivity table showing the protected range under each, so your counsel can see the strongest framing and its alternatives.

03 — §547(c)(4)

Subsequent new value

§547(c)(4) credits goods and services you continued to ship after each challenged payment, sequenced transfer by transfer. We construct the running new-value ledger from your shipment log.

04

Net exposure

Defenses are stacked in the optimal order per transfer, producing a documented exposure band — worst case, expected, best case — against the amount demanded. Findings that turn on legal judgment are flagged for your counsel, stated as open questions, never silently resolved.

03The chart

The graphic that frames the negotiation

The core exhibit in most preference defenses is a simple one: your customer’s payment timing, before distress and during the preference period, on one chart. When the preference-period payments fall inside the historical pattern, that consistency is the ordinary-course defense — made visible. Every analysis includes this exhibit, built from your data, formatted to survive scrutiny by the trustee’s counsel.

Days-to-pay distribution

Illustrative example
Days-to-pay distribution, illustrative example Bar chart of days to pay for each payment from January 2023 through the petition date. Baseline-period bars in navy fall between 38 and 53 days. The five preference-period payments, shown in lighter blue during the 90 days before the petition, fall between 42 and 49 days, inside the historical range. A dark red vertical rule marks the petition date. 0 20 40 60 Days to pay Historical range: 38–53 days Petition date Jan 2023 Jan 2024 Jan 2025 90 days pre-petition
  • Baseline-period payments
  • Preference-period payments
  • Petition date

04What you receive

Three documents, built for your counsel’s use

  • Defense Analysis Report

    The exposure waterfall, the payment-timing analysis, the new-value ledger, and a per-transfer status classification with rule citations — every accepted methodology computed in parallel and presented side by side, never pre-selected. It opens with threshold observations: the facts in your records bearing on what a trustee must establish in the first place — how payment dates line up against invoice and delivery dates, how receipts were classified in your books, which entity issued the invoice and which was paid. It closes with how those figures were arrived at: the order the analysis was performed in, in plain sentences, with the actual figures at each step. Behind the report sits a complete derivation — every figure recorded with the calculation that produced it and the records it drew on — retained for your engagement and available to be produced where there is a legal reason to.

  • Settlement memo

    Net exposure against the demand, settlement context from the same case’s docket where available, and defense-cost benchmarks — the one-page economics of the decision in front of you.

  • Workpapers

    An Excel workbook carrying every figure in the report on the sheet and the row it was built on, traced to the record it came from, so any total can be checked by adding the column above it. Before release every figure is machine-recalculated and must reproduce the reported number to the penny. The record of the calculations themselves is retained for your engagement and can be produced where there is a legal reason to.

Turnaround is typically 48–72 hours from complete data. Your side of the lift: one AR export and one shipment log. Every engagement ships with a manifest recording cryptographic hashes of the input files and the result of every automated check.

Mock first page of a TrueNorth Analytics Defense Analysis Report, showing the days-to-pay exhibit and an exposure summary table with illustrative placeholder content.

05How it works

How an engagement runs

  1. Send the demand and your data.

    The trustee’s exhibit or demand attachment, an AR export for the customer (invoice dates, amounts, terms, payment dates), and a shipment log through the filing date. We confirm scope and fee in writing before any work begins.

  2. We run the analysis.

    Reconciliation, ordinary-course scoring under each accepted methodology, new-value sequencing, exposure banding — under a documented QA protocol that verifies every total against source records.

  3. Your counsel takes it from there.

    The deliverables are designed to be handed to your bankruptcy attorney — and, through them, to the trustee’s side. We support your counsel’s questions; we don’t negotiate, appear, or advise on legal strategy.

06Fees

A flat fee, quoted before we start

Engagements are a fixed, scoped fee — $2,500, $3,500, or $5,000, keyed to the size of the schedule against your company — agreed in writing before work begins. We take no percentage of your settlement, your recovery, or the reduction achieved. Compare that to negotiating against a six- or seven-figure demand on the trustee’s numbers alone.

See the full fee schedule

07Common questions

Common questions

  • Are you a law firm?

    No. We are an analytics firm. We compute and document findings from records; we do not provide legal advice, and every engagement is structured for presentation through your own bankruptcy counsel. If you don’t yet have counsel, engaging one promptly should be your first step.

  • Is the amount in the letter what I owe?

    A demand is an allegation, not an adjudication — and a listing in a debtor’s schedules does not establish that any amount is owed. What you ultimately pay, if anything, typically depends on the defenses that can be documented from your records.

  • We were paid up front, or we only passed the money through. Why did we get this?

    Because the list is generated from the debtor’s disbursements, not from a review of who was a creditor. Recipients paid cash in advance or on delivery, agents and brokers who forwarded funds, factors who took assignment of a receivable, and parties paid under revenue-share arrangements all receive these letters. A trustee has to establish specific elements to recover a payment. We document what your records show about those facts — the timing, the classification, the entities involved — and your counsel evaluates what it means.

  • We’re a small vendor. Is this worth it for us?

    The Bankruptcy Code sets minimum thresholds below which preference claims face statutory hurdles, and venue protections for smaller claims. Part of the reconciliation step is checking whether those floors apply to you at all.

  • Can our accountant do this?

    Your accountant knows your books; this work turns on §547 case law’s accepted methodologies, defense sequencing rules, and the format opposing counsel expects. It’s a narrow specialty. We do only this.

08Contact

Start with the letter you received

Send the demand letter or complaint exhibit and we’ll respond with a scope and a fixed quote — usually the same business day.

TrueNorth Analytics

2345 Ashland Avenue, Suite 241
Cincinnati, Ohio 45206

Telephone: (513) 212-6596

Email

matthew@truenorthanalytics.co

Attach the demand letter or complaint exhibit if you have it.